Tag Archives: Politics

McCain’s Upcoming Win, Explained

In a nutshell in this comment (reproduced in entirety, follow the link for the article commented on):

This country is pretty evenly split between Republicans and Democrats. However, add to this (1) PUMAs shifting to McCain; (2) Obama’s distasteful comments regarding “clingers”; (3) the deplorable manner in which Joe the Plumber was treated, including Obama’s distasteful comments of “what plumber makes $250,000”; (4) Obama’s spread the wealth comments and mentality; and the final nail in the cofffin, (5) Obama’s vow to bankrupt the coal industry. And, yes, of course McCain will win … by a landslide.

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Strong Evidence McCain Will Win

This is a great article.  Badly-written at times, and desperately in need of a professional editing job, but it holds some compelling logic, and some maps to prove it.  The bottom line?  Why are McCain and Palin campaigning in the supposedly extremely blue states of Iowa and Pennsylvania (and non-blue Ohio) so late in the game?  If you believe that it is, as the media claims, a “hail mary” desperation attempt, and McCain cannot win, then why is Obama campaigning in those same spots?

Conclusion: the models are crap, they are coming up with the numbers they want and then finding ways to justify them rather than actually trying to understand voters.  Those states are all either leaning or solidly red, and McCain will win in a surprise landslide.

Democrats and/or Obama supporters will be forgiven for not being willing to slog through such a long article that insults everything they believe, but I do urge you to return here after Obama loses and read to understand why he did.

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Democrats Deliberately Disenfranchise Defense Dudes

Par for the course.  The “Count Every Vote” crowd is really the “Count Every Non-Military Vote, Because the Idiots Stuck in Iraq Vote Republican Too Much”:

Mark Hemingway’s article here at NRO on the subject is great, and we have personal knowledge on the subject here in Massachusetts.

After the 2000 election, new federal laws were passed ordering state election officials like Secretaries of State to track ballots requested by active duty military abroad, as well as how many returned and how many were eventually counted. But the Massachusetts Secretary of State, Democrat Bill Galvin, competely ignored this federal law and refused to track these ballots — an odd oversight from a liberal official notorious for making sure foreign language ballots are at every polling place.

So if you really do support the troops, and it’s not just lip service so that you can turn around and bash them as baby killers and/or thugs, stop voting Democrat. 

Democrats, once again, demonstrate they live by the motto, “The Ends Justify The Means”.

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Prediction: I Think McCain Will Win

Why?

1) Polls suck.  They are way oversampling Democrats (adjusting numbers to assume Democrats outnumber Republicans by, on average, double the historical high), and not providing any rationale for doing so at all.

2) Polls are assuming that all Democrats are voting for Obama.  I haven’t seen any poll address the PUMA factor at all.  Obamicans are not numerous to be a real factor.

3) Since polls suck, the campaigns run their own polling.  McCain’s campaign has come out on record and said, multiple times, “I think we can [or sometimes: will] win this!”  But Obama?  They haven’t said much of anything lately.

4) Obama is still campaigning.  With as many advantages as he’s had in this election with media coverage, contribution fraud, and voter fraud, if he were really ahead like the news organizations say, he’d be at home, saying: “I’m so confident that I will win I don’t even need to campaign anymore.”  But he’s not.  He’s sweating.

5) His honest answer to Joe the Plumber, and the failure of the Obama-leaning news media to completely squelch his hostility to the coal industry all managed to circulate through society fast enough and early enough to have an effect in this election.  It should be enough.

McCain will win, just as I predicted on my old blog.

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Awesome Article

By Camille Paglia.

I don’t agree with most of it, but she makes her points without malice or cheap shots.

This little insight is awesome:

One reason I live in the leafy suburbs of Philadelphia and have never moved to New York or Washington is that, as a cultural analyst, I want to remain in touch with the mainstream of American life. I frequent fast-food restaurants, shop at the mall, and periodically visit Wal-Mart (its bird-seed section is nonpareil). Like Los Angeles and San Francisco, Manhattan and Washington occupy their own mental zones — nice to visit but not a place to stay if you value independent thought these days.

And this:

The witch-trial hysteria of the past two incendiary weeks unfortunately reveals a disturbing trend in the Democratic Party, which has worsened over the past decade. Democrats are quick to attack the religiosity of Republicans, but Democratic ideology itself seems to have become a secular substitute religion. Since when did Democrats become so judgmental and intolerant? Conservatives are demonized, with the universe polarized into a Manichaean battle of us versus them, good versus evil. Democrats are clinging to pat group opinions as if they were inflexible moral absolutes. The party is in peril if it cannot observe and listen and adapt to changing social circumstances.

And this, in my personal view, is the best argument for abortion rights that I’ve ever read/heard:

But the pro-life position, whether or not it is based on religious orthodoxy, is more ethically highly evolved than my own tenet of unconstrained access to abortion on demand. My argument (as in my first book, “Sexual Personae,”) has always been that nature has a master plan pushing every species toward procreation and that it is our right and even obligation as rational human beings to defy nature’s fascism. Nature herself is a mass murderer, making casual, cruel experiments and condemning 10,000 to die so that one more fit will live and thrive.

Hence I have always frankly admitted that abortion is murder, the extermination of the powerless by the powerful. Liberals for the most part have shrunk from facing the ethical consequences of their embrace of abortion, which results in the annihilation of concrete individuals and not just clumps of insensate tissue. The state in my view has no authority whatever to intervene in the biological processes of any woman’s body, which nature has implanted there before birth and hence before that woman’s entrance into society and citizenship.

But you really need to read the whole thing, because there’s more that is worth reading, and it puts those three quotes into much better context.

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What’s Up With Obama’s New Southern Accent?

Check it out.

That is nothing like a Chicago accent, nor any Hawaiian accent I heard in 8 years of living there.

This really seems reminiscent of Hillary’s contrived, temporary southern accent.

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Coastal Liberal Elites

There’s a great little conversation going on in the comments on this Megan McArdle post.*

I don’t join in until about halfway down.  I hadn’t started this new blog yet, so I was still commenting as Nathan of Brainfertilizer Fame, instead of Nathan of Chiefly Musing fame.

I think I get in some good licks.  You can tell when the liberals feel like they’re losing: they start adding vulgarity and <i>ad hominem</i> to their sarcastic cheap shots.

But you be the judge.  Feel free to tell me what you think.

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